Monday, May 09, 2005

Seat Projections

The latest round of seat projections are out. They are based on an aggregate sample of 3250 Canadians from April 30-May5, or from last Saturday to this past Thursday.



Here is the data:







CONS Liberal N.D.P. BQ Totals
Newfoundland 2 5 0 0 7
Prince Edward Island 0 4 0 0 4
Nova Scotia 3 8 0 0 11
New Brunswick 2 7 1 0 10
Quebec 0 6 0 69 75
Ontario 29 67 10 0 106
Manitoba 10 0 4 0 14
Saskatchewan 13 1 0 0 14
Alberta 26 2 0 0 28
British Columbia 23 9 4 0 36
The North 0 2 1 0 3
Totals 108 111 20 69 308
09-May-05 CONS Liberal N.D.P. BQ Totals

Here are the percentages by region:

Poll Averages Conservative Green Liberal N.D.P. BQ Undecided
Atlantic 33% 2% 48% 17% 0% 14%
Quebec 12% 3% 18% 11% 55% 7%
Ontario 34% 3% 43% 20% 0% 11%
Prairies 51% 3% 24% 19% 0% 13%
Alberta 60% 5% 21% 12% 0% 9%
BC 34% 12% 26% 24% 0% 7%


Graph and analysis to follow....

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