Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Canada Election 2006: Jan. 17 SES poll

The new 3-day SES Research/CPAC daily tracking poll of 1200 people is out:

Conservatives: 37%
Liberals: 30%
NDP: 18%
Bloc: 10%

And, if you haven't already seen it, the new Decima poll in Quebec, 0f 2,492 voters, is quite the shocker:

Conservatives: 28%
Liberals: 14%
NDP: 9%
Bloc: 45%

Among sovereigntists responding to the poll, 80% said they would vote for the Bloc next Monday, 12% said they would cast a Tory ballot, 3% intended to vote NDP and 2% were planning to vote Liberal.

But one revealing finding was that 49% of sovereigntist respondents who indicated they were not fully decided or could change their mind said they were seriously considering voting Tory or might think seriously about it.

In fact, 24% of sovereigntists in the poll said they would be more likely to vote Conservative if they became convinced the Tories could win a majority.

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