Monday, January 02, 2006

Canada election 2006 poll: Harper's Conservatives in a tie with Martin's Liberals

The new Ipsos poll is out. I am just waiting for another one, possibly today, in order to create another seat projection based on aggregate polling. My thoughts on this poll? Wait and see. It is too early to tell if this is the poll tells any real movement in the electorate, since it is within the margin of error of other polls.
Ipsos Reid survey, conducted on behalf of CanWest News Service/Global News, shows that while the Conservative and Liberal parties are in a virtual tie when it comes to vote support the underlying dynamics suggest that it is the Conservative campaign which has traction and momentum. According to the survey, if a federal election were held tomorrow, 33% of voters would cast their ballot in support of the Conservatives (+1 point from last week’s survey), 32% would vote for the Liberals (32%, -1 point), 18% would vote for the NDP (+2 points), and 5% would vote for the Green Party (unchanged). In Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois attract more than half of federal votes (52%, -2 points).

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