Sunday, January 22, 2006

Election 2006: My predictions

The time has come. For my predictions. Back before the campaign even began, I predicted a very narrow Tory minority government. My prediction then was: Conservatives: 110, Liberals: 107, NDP: 28, Bloc: 63. Here is my final pre-election day prediction before Monday's vote. Feel free to add your own predictions.

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Popular vote:
Conservatives: 37%
Liberals: 29%
NDP: 18%
Bloc: 12%
Other: 5%

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Seat distribution
Newfoundland and Labrador: Liberals 4, Conservatives 3
Nova Scotia: Conservatives 5, Liberals 3, NDP 3
PEI: Liberals 4
New Brunswick: Conservatives 6, Liberals 4
Quebec: Bloc 59, Liberals 8, Conservatives 7, Independent 1
Ontario: Liberals 46, Conservatives 48, NDP 12
Manitoba: Conservatives 7, Liberals 3, NDP 3, Independent 1
Saskatchewan: Conservatives 13, Liberals 1
Alberta: Conservatives 28
BC: Conservatives 20, NDP 12, Liberals 4
Territories: Liberals 2, NDP 1

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Total: Conservatives 137, Liberals 79, NDP 31, Bloc 59, Independent 2.

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